Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.060495 0.068584 0.076871 0.085965 0.095634 0.105578 0.116549
2025-08-10 0.047347 0.059190 0.071943 0.086555 0.102699 0.119870 0.139395
2025-08-17 0.038512 0.052477 0.068166 0.086769 0.107923 0.130968 0.157722
2025-08-24 0.030365 0.045232 0.062653 0.083985 0.108879 0.136566 0.169267
2025-08-31 0.024255 0.039545 0.058216 0.081767 0.109887 0.141720 0.179862
2025-09-07 0.020694 0.036558 0.056628 0.082565 0.114097 0.150276 0.194095
2025-09-14 0.018103 0.034501 0.055927 0.084212 0.119126 0.159639 0.209138
2025-09-21 0.016661 0.033825 0.056850 0.087754 0.126348 0.171508 0.227044
2025-09-28 0.014529 0.031895 0.055936 0.088831 0.130456 0.179621 0.240511
2025-10-05 0.014749 0.033472 0.059735 0.095948 0.142013 0.196621 0.264442
2025-10-12 0.012379 0.030780 0.057514 0.095133 0.143628 0.201654 0.274219
2025-10-19 0.011073 0.029624 0.057320 0.096886 0.148393 0.210432 0.288400
2025-10-26 0.009231 0.027445 0.055689 0.096860 0.151145 0.217095 0.300500
2025-11-02 0.007929 0.026040 0.055103 0.098220 0.155690 0.226011 0.315406
2025-11-09 0.006564 0.024278 0.053842 0.098554 0.158845 0.233178 0.328188
2025-11-16 0.004766 0.021232 0.050347 0.095578 0.157534 0.234694 0.334024
2025-11-23 0.003400 0.018687 0.047401 0.093194 0.156863 0.236902 0.340616
2025-11-30 0.002734 0.017609 0.046755 0.094053 0.160450 0.244419 0.353673
2025-12-07 0.002279 0.016951 0.046757 0.095824 0.165239 0.253441 0.368579
2025-12-14 0.002113 0.017090 0.048132 0.099630 0.172785 0.265973 0.387829
2025-12-21 0.001685 0.016274 0.047760 0.100787 0.176714 0.273899 0.401396
2025-12-28 0.001943 0.017810 0.051657 0.108417 0.189510 0.293165 0.429028
2026-01-04 0.001374 0.016309 0.049970 0.107544 0.190648 0.297530 0.438207